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Stadium Background

Maceratese vs Unipomezia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gagliardi M.
26' Event
Amadio A.
77' Event
Adrian O.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Maceratese and Unipomezia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maceratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Maceratese
35%
Draws
35%
Unipomezia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Maceratese's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Unipomezia have produced (1.29).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Maceratese Clean Sheet 15%
Unipomezia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maceratese Unipomezia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Unipomezia vs Maceratese
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Unipomezia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maceratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagliardi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adrian O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Unipomezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Amadio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maceratese 31 / 100
Unipomezia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maceratese Unipomezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maceratese found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Unipomezia has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Maceratese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maceratese VS Unipomezia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maceratese

(Home)
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1
Giulianova
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0
Maceratese
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1
Recanatese
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2
Maceratese
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Unipomezia

(Away)
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3
Vigor Senigallia
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0
Maceratese
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
02 Apr
Unipomezia
0 : 0
Giulianova
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F (Play Out)