Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Machhindra vs Paro

Asia Asia

AFC Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Shrestha B.
Own Goal
12' Event
Magar B.
15' Event
Ghalan A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Machhindra
15%
Draws
64%
Paro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Machhindra haven't matched Paro's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Paro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Paro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Machhindra, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Machhindra Clean Sheet 13%
Paro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machhindra Paro
Matches Played 3 31
Wins 1 23
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.67 3.87
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2023 AFC Cup
Machhindra vs Paro
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Machhindra Compare

Top Goalscorer Magar B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghalan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Asante E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machhindra 10 / 100
Paro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machhindra Paro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Machhindra found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (3 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Paro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Machhindra has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paro
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Machhindra

(Home)
16 Aug
Mohun Bagan
3 : 1
Machhindra
08 Aug
Machhindra
3 : 2
Paro
05 Apr
Machhindra
1 : 2
Blue Star

Paro

(Away)
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
20 Aug
Paro
1 : 0
RTC
11 Aug
Paro
2 : 0
Abu Muslim
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Nahda -
Mohun Bagan -
TBD -
Machhindra 3
Paro 2
Abahani Limited Dhaka -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Eagles -
Khujand -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merw -
TBD -
TBD -
Alay Osh -
Tampines -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phnom Penh Crown -
TBD -
TBD -
Young Elephant -
PSM Makassar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yangon United -
TBD -
TBD -
DPMM -
Al-Ittihad Aleppo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shabab Al Khaleel -
Monte Carlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taichung Futuro -
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Nahda -
Mohun Bagan 3
Machhindra 1
Abahani Limited Dhaka 2
Club Eagles 1
Khujand -
TBD -
Merw 1
Alay Osh 0
Tampines -
TBD -
Phnom Penh Crown 3
Young Elephant 0
PSM Makassar -
TBD -
Yangon United 2
DPMM 1
Al-Ittihad Aleppo -
TBD -
TBD -
Shabab Al Khaleel -
Monte Carlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Taichung Futuro -
Final
Al Khalidiyah 2
Al Nahda 3
Mohun Bagan 3
Abahani Limited Dhaka 1
Khujand 1
Merw 2
Tampines 2
Phnom Penh Crown 3
PSM Makassar 4
Yangon United 0
Al-Ittihad Aleppo 2
Shabab Al Khaleel 1
Monte Carlo 1
Taichung Futuro 2