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Machico vs Brito

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Melo F.
Own Goal
82'
Augusto C.
82'
Augusto C.

AI Match Summary

Machico in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Machico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Machico
20%
Draws
34%
Brito
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Brito have won more games recently than Machico.
  • Model gives Machico a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Machico Clean Sheet 20%
Brito Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machico Brito
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.09 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Machico vs Brito
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Brito vs Machico
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machico 36 / 100
Brito 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machico Brito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Machico scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Brito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Machico has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Machico VS Brito
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Machico

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
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Brito

(Away)
20 Sept
Vila Pouca
0 : 5
Brito
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Brito
2 : 3
GD Braganca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)