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Machico vs Coimbroes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Monteiro R.
86' Event
Gouveia R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Machico and Coimbroes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Machico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Machico
35%
Draws
13%
Coimbroes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Machico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Machico taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Machico Clean Sheet 68%
Coimbroes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machico Coimbroes
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.14 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Coimbroes
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Coimbroes vs Machico
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Machico Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gouveia R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Coimbroes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machico 95 / 100
Coimbroes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machico Coimbroes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Machico found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (36 games).

Coimbroes let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Machico went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Machico VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Machico

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 8

Coimbroes

(Away)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Cinfaes
3 : 1
Coimbroes
16 Mar
FC Alpendorada
2 : 1
Coimbroes
09 Mar
Coimbroes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)