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Machico vs Maritimo B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Isnaba G.
90' Event
Monteiro R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Machico and Maritimo B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Machico
20%
Draws
34%
Maritimo B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Machico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Machico are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Machico Clean Sheet 68%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machico Maritimo B
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.15 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.02 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Maritimo B
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Machico
0:3
Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Machico
1:1
Dec 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Maritimo B
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Machico Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Isnaba G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machico 77 / 100
Maritimo B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machico Maritimo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Machico's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Machico has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Machico VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Machico

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 8

Maritimo B

(Away)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)