Sport Picks
Machida Zelvia vs Iwate Grulla Morioka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
Emperors Cup Machida GION Stadium, Machida 
Match Events
37'
37'
Matsuo Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Nishiguchi R. In: Miyahara H.
Out: Nishiguchi R.
46'
46'
Sub
Aratama E. In: Komatsu K.
Out: Aratama E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Machida Zelvia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Machida Zelvia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Machida Zelvia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Machida Zelvia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 68%
Iwate Grulla Morioka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Iwate Grulla Morioka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Machida Zelvia vs Iwate Grulla Morioka
3:0
Jul 23, 2022 J2 League
Iwate Grulla Morioka vs Machida Zelvia
1:3
Jun 1, 2022 Emperors Cup
Machida Zelvia vs Iwate Grulla Morioka
1:3
Feb 27, 2022 J2 League
Machida Zelvia vs Iwate Grulla Morioka
1:0
Sep 13, 2015 J3 League
Iwate Grulla Morioka vs Machida Zelvia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Machida Zelvia Compare
Top Goalscorer Matsuo Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yengi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Iwate Grulla Morioka Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Machida Zelvia 41 / 100
Iwate Grulla Morioka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Machida Zelvia Iwate Grulla Morioka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Machida Zelvia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Machida Zelvia found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).
Iwate Grulla Morioka has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Machida Zelvia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Machida Zelvia VS Iwate Grulla Morioka
2.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Machida Zelvia
(Home) 10 Oct
Kyoto
0 : 1 Machida Zelvia
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Kyoto
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0 Svay Rieng
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Kyoto
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0 Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 4
Iwate Grulla Morioka
(Away) 26 Aug
Machida Zelvia
3 : 0 Iwate Grulla Morioka
19 Aug
Iwate Grulla Morioka
1 : 0 Sapporo University FC
11 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 0 Iwate Grulla Morioka
18 Jun
Yokohama FC
2 : 1 Iwate Grulla Morioka
01 Jun
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 0 Iwate Grulla Morioka
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Machida Zelvia
3 : 0 Iwate Grulla Morioka
11 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 0 Iwate Grulla Morioka
18 Jun
Yokohama FC
2 : 1 Iwate Grulla Morioka
01 Jun
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 0 Iwate Grulla Morioka
17 Nov
Nara Club
1 : 0 Iwate Grulla Morioka
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
