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Machida Zelvia vs Shanghai Shenhua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Machida GION Stadium, Machida
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Machida Zelvia host Shanghai Shenhua in the AFC Champions League 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Machida Zelvia at 1.93 goals for, 0.73 against; Shanghai Shenhua at 1.96 for, 1.64 against. Past meetings favor Machida Zelvia slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.38) point toward Machida Zelvia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Machida Zelvia
20%
Draws
28%
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Machida Zelvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Machida Zelvia lately — more wins on the board than Shanghai Shenhua.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 17%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machida Zelvia Shanghai Shenhua
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 22 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.96
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 AFC Champions League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machida Zelvia 30 / 100
Shanghai Shenhua 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machida Zelvia Shanghai Shenhua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machida Zelvia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Machida Zelvia scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Shanghai Shenhua let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Machida Zelvia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Machida Zelvia VS Shanghai Shenhua
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Machida Zelvia

(Home)
24 Oct
Vissel Kobe
0 : 0
Machida Zelvia
21 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 5
Machida Zelvia
18 Oct
Machida Zelvia
3 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
15 Oct
Tampines
0 : 1
Machida Zelvia
10 Oct
Kyoto
0 : 1
Machida Zelvia
Page 1 of 6

Shanghai Shenhua

(Away)
24 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 1
Shanghai Shenhua
18 Oct
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
15 Oct
Svay Rieng
0 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
2 Al Kuwait 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Nasaf Qarshi 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
4 Al Khalidiyah 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Arkadag 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Al Muharraq 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
4 Gol Gohar 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Taawon 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Al Rayyan 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Al Faisaly Amman 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
4 Al Nahda 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Al Hussein 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
3 East Bengal 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
4 Al Seeb 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Melbourne Victory 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Viettel 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
4 Seoul 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Lion City Sailors 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Pathum United 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Tai Po 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Shanghai Shenhua 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Svay Rieng 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
4 Tampines 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Kitchee 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 Kuching City FC 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Gangwon 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)