Sport Picks
Macva Sabac vs Napredak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Serbia
Mozzart Serbian Cup Stadion FK Mačva Šabac, Sabac 
Match Events
9'
9'
Ristivojevic I.
27'
27'
Milic A.
75'
75'
Pejovic L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Napredak
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Napredak haven't matched Macva Sabac's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Macva Sabac have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Napredak, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Napredak here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Macva Sabac Clean Sheet 20%
Napredak Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Macva Sabac | Napredak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 27, 2026 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Macva Sabac vs Napredak
2:0
Apr 12, 2021 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Napredak vs Macva Sabac
2:0
Oct 25, 2020 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Macva Sabac vs Napredak
1:2
Dec 8, 2019 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Napredak vs Macva Sabac
2:1
Aug 18, 2019 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Macva Sabac vs Napredak
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Macva Sabac Compare
Top Goalscorer Ristivojevic I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pejovic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Napredak Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Macva Sabac 32 / 100
Napredak 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Macva Sabac Napredak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Macva Sabac scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Napredak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Macva Sabac went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Macva Sabac VS Napredak
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Macva Sabac
(Home) 27 Oct
Macva Sabac
2 : 0 Napredak
23 Oct
Zemun
1 : 0 Macva Sabac
17 Oct
Macva Sabac
1 : 1 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
10 Oct
Cukaricki
2 : 2 Macva Sabac
20 Sept
Macva Sabac
1 : 2 Mladost Lucani
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Macva Sabac
2 : 0 Napredak
17 Oct
Macva Sabac
1 : 1 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
20 Sept
Macva Sabac
1 : 2 Mladost Lucani
05 Sept
Macva Sabac
0 : 0 Radnicki 1923
22 Aug
Macva Sabac
1 : 0 Radnicki Nis
Page 1 of 4
Napredak
(Away) 27 Oct
Macva Sabac
2 : 0 Napredak
24 Oct
Borac 1926
0 : 0 Napredak
17 Oct
Napredak
1 : 0 Dubocica
11 Oct
Proleter 023
0 : 0 Napredak
05 Oct
Napredak
3 : 0 Loznica
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Macva Sabac
2 : 0 Napredak
24 Oct
Borac 1926
0 : 0 Napredak
11 Oct
Proleter 023
0 : 0 Napredak
29 Sept
FK Vozdovac
0 : 0 Napredak
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0 Napredak
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Jedinstvo Krusevac 3
Trayal Krusevac 0
TBD -
Javor -
Dubocica -
TBD -
TBD -
Radnicki Nis -
Teleoptik -
TBD -
TBD -
Mladost Lucani -
FK Vozdovac -
TBD -
TBD -
Novi Pazar -
Mokra Gora 0
FAP 1
TBD -
Spartak Subotica -
Zemun -
TBD -
TBD -
Radnicki 1923 -
Vrsac -
TBD -
TBD -
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet -
Tekstilac Odzaci -
TBD -
TBD -
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
Jedinstvo Ub -
TBD -
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Macva Sabac -
TBD -
TBD -
Napredak -
Graficar Beograd -
TBD -
TBD -
IMT Novi Beograd -
Sloven Ruma 2
Kabel Novi Sad 1
TBD -
Vojvodina -
Borac 1926 -
TBD -
TBD -
Radnik Surdulica -
Buducnost Krusik 3
Usce 1
TBD -
Partizan -
Smederevo -
TBD -
TBD -
TSC Backa Topola -
Loznica -
TBD -
TBD -
Cukaricki -
1/16-finals
Jedinstvo Krusevac 1
Javor 3
Dubocica -
Radnicki Nis -
Teleoptik 2
Mladost Lucani 1
FK Vozdovac 1
Novi Pazar 3
FAP 1
Spartak Subotica 0
Zemun -
Radnicki 1923 -
Vrsac 0
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 1
Tekstilac Odzaci -
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
Jedinstvo Ub 1
Crvena zvezda 5
Macva Sabac 2
Napredak 0
Graficar Beograd 2
IMT Novi Beograd 0
Sloven Ruma 1
Vojvodina 0
Borac 1926 1
Radnik Surdulica 2
Buducnost Krusik -
Partizan -
Smederevo 2
TSC Backa Topola 3
Loznica 1
Cukaricki 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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