Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Macva Sabac vs Usce

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Stadion FK Mačva Šabac, Sabac
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Djuric D.
15'
Ilic V.
15'
Bakic M.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 game between Macva Sabac and Usce finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macva Sabac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Macva Sabac
15%
Draws
49%
Usce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Usce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macva Sabac come out ahead of Usce on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Usce taking it.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Macva Sabac Clean Sheet 26%
Usce Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macva Sabac Usce
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Macva Sabac vs Usce
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Usce vs Macva Sabac
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macva Sabac Compare

Top Goalscorer Ergelas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nikolic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Usce Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macva Sabac 30 / 100
Usce 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macva Sabac Usce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Usce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Usce has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Macva Sabac found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Usce has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macva Sabac VS Usce
0.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Macva Sabac

(Home)
15 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
2 : 1
Macva Sabac
09 Aug
Macva Sabac
1 : 0
IMT Novi Beograd
03 Aug
Vojvodina
2 : 0
Macva Sabac
26 Jul
Macva Sabac
1 : 3
Partizan
17 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0
Macva Sabac
Page 1 of 6

Usce

(Away)
29 May
Borac 1926
1 : 1
Usce
22 May
Usce
0 : 1
FAP
17 May
Tekstilac Odzaci
4 : 1
Usce
12 May
Usce
2 : 0
Trayal Krusevac
07 May
Dinamo Jug
2 : 0
Usce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zemun 30 18 9 3 48:26 63
2 Macva Sabac 30 16 9 5 41:25 57
3 FK Vozdovac 30 16 8 6 47:23 56
4 Loznica 30 13 9 8 30:25 48
5 Jedinstvo Ub 30 11 11 8 44:39 44
6 Vrsac 30 9 14 7 30:27 41
7 Graficar Beograd 30 10 10 10 30:29 40
8 Smederevo 30 11 7 12 34:28 40
9 Dinamo Jug 30 10 12 8 31:29 38
10 Tekstilac Odzaci 30 9 10 11 34:41 37
11 Borac 1926 30 9 9 12 30:33 36
12 Dubocica 30 7 10 13 29:44 31
13 Kabel Novi Sad 30 6 12 12 22:40 30
14 Trayal Krusevac 30 7 8 15 33:36 29
15 FAP 30 6 8 16 26:47 26
16 Usce 30 4 10 16 23:40 22
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)