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Madagascar U20 vs South Africa U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Soloniaina A.
79' Event
Mkiva S.

AI Match Summary

The COSAFA Championship U20 2019 game between Madagascar U20 and South Africa U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Madagascar U20
11%
Draws
80%
South Africa U20
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: South Africa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • South Africa U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on South Africa U20 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this COSAFA Championship U20 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Madagascar U20 Clean Sheet 14%
South Africa U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madagascar U20 South Africa U20
Matches Played 5 32
Wins 2 21
Draws 1 5
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2019 COSAFA Championship U20
South Africa U20 vs Madagascar U20
3:2
Dec 8, 2019 COSAFA Championship U20
Madagascar U20 vs South Africa U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madagascar U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soloniaina A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

South Africa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mkiva S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madagascar U20 11 / 100
South Africa U20 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madagascar U20 South Africa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madagascar U20's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Madagascar U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

South Africa U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS South Africa U20
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia U2033009:19
2Malawi U2031117:44
3Botswana U2031114:84
4Comoros U2030031:80
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Africa U20321010:17
2Madagascar U2032106:27
3Mauritius U2030123:91
4Lesotho U2030122:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Angola U20330013:19
2Eswatini U2032015:46
3Mozambique U2031023:53
4Seychelles U2030032:130