Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Madagascar vs Burundi

World World

Friendly International 2024 Mahamasina Municipal Stadium, Antananarivo
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Raveloson R.

AI Match Summary

Madagascar in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Madagascar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Madagascar
20%
Draws
38%
Burundi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Madagascar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Madagascar have won more games recently than Burundi.
  • Win probability leans Madagascar's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Madagascar Clean Sheet 20%
Burundi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madagascar Burundi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Madagascar vs Burundi
1:0
Jun 27, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Madagascar vs Burundi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madagascar Compare

Top Goalscorer Raveloson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Burundi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madagascar 42 / 100
Burundi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madagascar Burundi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madagascar scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Burundi has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Madagascar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Burundi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Madagascar VS Burundi
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Madagascar

(Home)
02 Jun
Morocco
4 : 0
Madagascar
31 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1
Madagascar
28 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
2 : 5
Madagascar
17 Nov
Madagascar
2 : 0
Equatorial Guinea
12 Oct
Mali
4 : 1
Madagascar
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Burundi

(Away)
26 May
Morocco
5 : 0
Burundi
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
14 Oct
Gabon
2 : 0
Burundi
09 Oct
Burundi
0 : 1
Kenya
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