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Madagascar W vs Eswatini W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Raharimalala V.
46' Event
Ngcamphalala T.
81' Event
Magagula S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Eswatini W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Madagascar W
35%
Draws
13%
Eswatini W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Madagascar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Eswatini W haven't matched Madagascar W's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Madagascar W taking it.
  • Madagascar W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eswatini W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 68%
Eswatini W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madagascar W Eswatini W
Matches Played 19 27
Wins 7 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.37 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
Madagascar W vs Eswatini W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madagascar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Raharimalala V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

Eswatini W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngcamphalala T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magagula S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madagascar W 59 / 100
Eswatini W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madagascar W Eswatini W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madagascar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eswatini W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Madagascar W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Madagascar W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madagascar W VS Eswatini W
1.14 Goals Scored 0.88
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Madagascar W

(Home)
09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0
South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1
Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1
Madagascar W
28 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 0
Botswana W
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Eswatini W

(Away)
24 Feb
Zambia W
2 : 1
Eswatini W
22 Feb
Botswana W
1 : 1
Eswatini W
19 Feb
Eswatini W
0 : 2
Zimbabwe W
23 Nov
Eswatini W
0 : 1
Mozambique W
22 Nov
Eswatini W
1 : 1
Lesotho W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 3 0 0 15:4 9
2 South Africa W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Eswatini W 3 1 0 2 2:12 3
4 Madagascar W 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Mozambique W 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Angola W 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Comoros W 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zimbabwe W 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Botswana W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Namibia W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Lesotho W 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)