Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Madagascar W vs Malawi W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malawi W in this COSAFA Cup Women 2018 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Madagascar W
20%
Draws
42%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malawi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Madagascar W haven't matched Malawi W's recent run of results.
  • Madagascar W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Malawi W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malawi W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Malawi W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 20%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madagascar W Malawi W
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 7 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Malawi W vs Madagascar W
1:0
Oct 10, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
Madagascar W vs Malawi W
1:3
Jul 31, 2019 COSAFA Cup Women
Malawi W vs Madagascar W
2:0
Sep 14, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
Madagascar W vs Malawi W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madagascar W 42 / 100
Malawi W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madagascar W Malawi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Madagascar W scored in 63% of their last 19 outings.

Malawi W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Madagascar W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Madagascar W VS Malawi W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Madagascar W

(Home)
09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0
South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1
Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1
Madagascar W
28 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 4

Malawi W

(Away)
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
28 Jul
Nigeria W
2 : 3
Malawi W
23 Jul
Malawi W
0 : 4
Ghana W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Botswana W 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
3 Malawi W 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Madagascar W 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Cameroon W 3 2 0 1 14:2 6
3 Mozambique W 3 1 0 2 3:12 3
4 Lesotho W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda W 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Zimbabwe W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Namibia W 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Eswatini W 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)