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Madagascar W vs South Africa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women
Madagascar W Logo

Madagascar W

0 - 4
FT
South Africa W Logo

South Africa W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Madagascar W
20%
Draws
47%
South Africa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Africa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Africa W lately — more wins on the board than Madagascar W.
  • Model gives South Africa W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • South Africa W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor South Africa W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors South Africa W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 19%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madagascar W South Africa W
Matches Played 20 36
Wins 7 26
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.3 2.72
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Olympic Games Women
Madagascar W vs South Africa W
0:4
Oct 7, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
3:1
Aug 5, 2019 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
3:0
Sep 12, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madagascar W 12 / 100
South Africa W 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madagascar W South Africa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Africa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Madagascar W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Recent resilience: Madagascar W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

South Africa W has conceded goals in 44% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Madagascar W VS South Africa W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Madagascar W

(Home)
09 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 4
South Africa W
09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0
South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1
Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1
Madagascar W
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South Africa W

(Away)
09 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 4
South Africa W
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
08 Aug
Morocco W
2 : 1
South Africa W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1
South Africa W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tunisia W -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal W -
Benin W -
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TBD -
Mali W -
Congo W -
TBD -
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Morocco W -
Sudan W 0
Comoros W 30
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W -
TBD -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Rwanda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia W -
Botswana W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
TBD -
TBD -
Namibia W -
South Sudan W 1
Madagascar W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W -
TBD -
TBD -
Kenya W -
Malawi W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbabwe W -
Uganda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Mauritius W 3
Djibouti W 1
TBD -
Ghana W -
1/8-finals
Tunisia W 0
Senegal W 1
Benin W 3
Mali W 1
Congo W -
Morocco W -
Comoros W 0
Nigeria W 2
Guinea W -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W 1
Ivory Coast W 4
Central Africa W 0
Algeria W 8
Burkina Faso W 3
Equatorial Guinea W 1
Rwanda W 0
Ethiopia W 1
Botswana W 0
Tanzania W 1
Angola W 0
Namibia W 0
Madagascar W 0
South Africa W 4
Seychelles W 0
Kenya W 11
Malawi W 2
Zimbabwe W 0
Uganda W 2
Zambia W 1
Mauritius W 0
Ghana W 3
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Morocco W -
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Cameroon W -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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TBD -
TBD -