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Madla IL vs Staal Jorpeland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Madla IL host Staal Jorpeland in the Division 3 - Group 4. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Madla IL at 2.54 goals for, 1.54 against; Staal Jorpeland at 2.39 for, 2.21 against. Past meetings favor Madla IL slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (2.63 xG vs 1.44) point toward Madla IL. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Madla IL
20%
Draws
40%
Staal Jorpeland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madla IL come out ahead of Staal Jorpeland on wins alone.
  • Madla IL are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 16%
Staal Jorpeland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madla IL Staal Jorpeland
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.54 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Staal Jorpeland vs Madla IL
0:3
Aug 2, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Madla IL vs Staal Jorpeland
3:2
May 10, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Staal Jorpeland vs Madla IL
1:4
Oct 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Staal Jorpeland vs Madla IL
2:1
May 2, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Madla IL vs Staal Jorpeland
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madla IL 41 / 100
Staal Jorpeland 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madla IL Staal Jorpeland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madla IL's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Staal Jorpeland let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Madla IL has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Madla IL VS Staal Jorpeland
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Madla IL

(Home)
04 Oct
Madla IL
0 : 1
Brodd
01 Oct
Madla IL
0 : 3
Viking
26 Sept
Akra
0 : 6
Madla IL
21 Sept
Madla IL
1 : 1
Haugesund 2
12 Sept
Hinna
1 : 4
Madla IL
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Staal Jorpeland

(Away)
02 Oct
Hinna
2 : 4
Staal Jorpeland
25 Sept
Varhaug
4 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
21 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Viking 2
12 Sept
Brodd
1 : 3
Staal Jorpeland
05 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
0 : 2
Mandalskameratene
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