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Madona/BJSS vs Lielupe

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2023
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Lielupe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Madona/BJSS
15%
Draws
32%
Lielupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madona/BJSS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Lielupe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Madona/BJSS a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Lielupe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lielupe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Madona/BJSS Clean Sheet 10%
Lielupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madona/BJSS Lielupe
Matches Played 3 17
Wins 1 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.41
Goals Conceded 3 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 3.17 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Latvian Cup
Madona/BJSS vs Lielupe
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madona/BJSS 56 / 100
Lielupe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madona/BJSS Lielupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madona/BJSS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lielupe let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Away concern: Lielupe has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Madona/BJSS scored in 33% of their last 3 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Madona/BJSS VS Lielupe
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 5
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Madona/BJSS

(Home)
02 Jun
Madona/BJSS
0 : 6
FK Smiltene
18 May
Madona/BJSS
4 : 2
Kuldigas/Goldingen
27 May
Madona/BJSS
0 : 1
Lielupe

Lielupe

(Away)
31 May
Lielupe
0 : 6
FK Metta
17 May
FK Union / JFK Daugava
5 : 0
Lielupe
02 Jun
Lielupe
1 : 2
Rigas Futbola Skola
17 May
Lielupe
5 : 1
Valka
12 Jun
Beitar
5 : 3
Lielupe
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda -
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FK Alberts -
Iecava -
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Rigas Futbola Skola -
Augsdaugavas -
TBD -
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Betsafe -
TBD -
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Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance -
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Kadaga/Ostas 2
Namejs 1
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Dinamo Riga -
Valka -
TBD -
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Marupe -
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Skanste -
DSVK Traktors -
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Upesciema Warriors -
TBD -
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FK Smiltene -
Beitar -
TBD -
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Madona/BJSS -
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Lielupe 3
FK Varaklani 0
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sigulda 2
Sports United/Cesis 3
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Bebri -
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Grobina -
AFA Olaine -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Salaspils FK -
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Jekabpils SC -
Plavinas -
TBD -
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FK Limbazi -
Ogre United -
TBD -
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LSPA -
Riga United -
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RSU -
FK Union -
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Dobele Allegro 1
FK Ludza 0
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Alberts JDFS -
Rezekne -
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RTU 0
JFC Viola 3
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JFK Daugava -
1/64-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda 5
FK Alberts 1
Iecava 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
Augsdaugavas 1
Betsafe 2
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Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance 4
Kadaga/Ostas 0
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Dinamo Riga -
Valka 0
Marupe 7
TBD -
Skanste -
DSVK Traktors 0
Upesciema Warriors 1
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
Beitar -
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Madona/BJSS 0
Lielupe 1
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis 4
Bebri 1
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Grobina -
AFA Olaine -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Salaspils FK 1
Jekabpils SC 3
Plavinas 0
FK Limbazi 3
Ogre United 2
LSPA 1
Riga United 3
RSU 2
FK Union 4
Dobele Allegro 1
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Alberts JDFS -
Rezekne -
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JFC Viola 3
JFK Daugava 4
1/32-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda 2
Rigas Futbola Skola 4
Betsafe 1
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Marupe 2
Skanste 0
Upesciema Warriors 0
FK Smiltene 2
Beitar 5
Lielupe 3
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis 0
Grobina 7
AFA Olaine 4
JFK Ventspils 0
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Jekabpils SC -
FK Limbazi -
Ogre United 4
Riga United 0
FK Union 0
Alberts JDFS 10
Rezekne 4
JFK Daugava 1
1/16-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Rigas Futbola Skola 1
Betsafe 2
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Dinamo Riga 0
Marupe 11
FK Smiltene 1
Beitar 3
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Grobina 2
AFA Olaine 3
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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TBD -
RFS -
Jekabpils SC 3
Ogre United 1
Alberts JDFS 8
Rezekne 0
1/8-finals
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Betsafe 0
Riga FC 5
FK Metta 2
FK Liepaja 3
Marupe 0
Beitar 1
Valmiera 2
Super Nova 0
AFA Olaine 1
Tukums 2000 3
Jelgava 0
RFS 3
Jekabpils SC 0
Alberts JDFS 6
Quarter-finals
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 7
Beitar 0
Valmiera 0
Tukums 2000 1
RFS 4
Alberts JDFS 1
Semi-finals
Riga FC 2
FK Liepaja 1
Tukums 2000 1
RFS 3
Final
Riga FC 2
RFS 1