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Madrid CFF B W vs Atl. Madrid B W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Madrid CFF B W play Atl. Madrid B W in the Primera Federacion Women 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Madrid CFF B W averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Atl. Madrid B W averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Madrid CFF B W won 1, Atl. Madrid B W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 23, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Madrid CFF B W and 0.80 for Atl. Madrid B W. This points to a Atl. Madrid B W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Madrid CFF B W
22%
Draws
52%
Atl. Madrid B W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atl. Madrid B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Madrid CFF B W picked up more points recently compared to Atl. Madrid B W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Madrid CFF B W Clean Sheet 26%
Atl. Madrid B W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madrid CFF B W Atl. Madrid B W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 11
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.15
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.26

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Madrid CFF B W vs Atl. Madrid B W
2:1
Dec 9, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Madrid CFF B W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madrid CFF B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Atl. Madrid B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brazalez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madrid CFF B W 29 / 100
Atl. Madrid B W 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madrid CFF B W Atl. Madrid B W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atl. Madrid B W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Madrid CFF B W attacking → ← attacking Atl. Madrid B W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madrid CFF B W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Atl. Madrid B W let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Madrid CFF B W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atl. Madrid B W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barcelona B W26184455:1758
2Dep. A Coruna W26168243:2356
3Espanyol W26146641:2348
4CA Osasuna W26128640:2844
5Alhama W26127734:2743
6SE AEM W26119622:1542
7Logrono Dux W261131231:3036
8Albacete W2689932:3533
9Alaves W26881029:2732
10Atl. Madrid B W26871132:3231
11Cacereno W26851328:4129
12CE Europa W26631724:5421
13Athletic Bilbao B W26381518:3817
14Madrid CFF B W26332016:5512