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Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Bilbao W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Amezaga J.
34'
Holt E.
43' Event
Nautnes E.
Assist: Rivas M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women game between Madrid CFF W and Athletic Bilbao W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Madrid CFF W
30%
Draws
31%
Athletic Bilbao W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madrid CFF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Athletic Bilbao W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Madrid CFF W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga F Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Madrid CFF W Clean Sheet 18%
Athletic Bilbao W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madrid CFF W Athletic Bilbao W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Bilbao W
2:2
Mar 15, 2026 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Madrid CFF W
4:1
Dec 13, 2025 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Bilbao W
0:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Athletic Bilbao W
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Madrid CFF W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madrid CFF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nautnes E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouzraoui S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Athletic Bilbao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bibi
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madrid CFF W 36 / 100
Athletic Bilbao W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madrid CFF W Athletic Bilbao W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madrid CFF W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Athletic Bilbao W let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Madrid CFF W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madrid CFF W VS Athletic Bilbao W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Madrid CFF W

(Home)
03 Oct
Madrid CFF W
2 : 2
Athletic Bilbao W
26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Alaves W
19 Sept
Espanyol W
5 : 1
Madrid CFF W
12 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Sevilla W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3
Madrid CFF W
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Bilbao W

(Away)
03 Oct
Madrid CFF W
2 : 2
Athletic Bilbao W
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
20 Sept
Eibar W
1 : 0
Athletic Bilbao W
12 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
2 : 2
Espanyol W
06 Sept
Logrono W
0 : 1
Athletic Bilbao W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)