Sport Picks
Madura United vs Arema FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan 
AI Match Summary
Madura United host Arema FC in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Madura United have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Arema FC's 1.7 scored and 1.53 conceded. Past meetings favor Arema FC slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.44, favoring Arema FC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arema FC have won more games recently than Madura United.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Madura United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madura United | Arema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Madura United's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Arema FC conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Madura United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Madura United
(Home)Arema FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Dewa United | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Madura United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Bali United | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Persita | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Bhayangkara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Persib Bandung | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Persebaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 10 | PSM Makassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Java United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Arema FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:14 | 6 |
| 13 | Borneo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:12 | 2 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:14 | 0 |
