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Madura United vs FC Bhayangkara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Madura United host FC Bhayangkara in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FC Bhayangkara have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Madura United have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.34. Head-to-head, Madura United have won 0 to FC Bhayangkara's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.50, favoring FC Bhayangkara. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Madura United
20%
Draws
32%
FC Bhayangkara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Madura United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Bhayangkara lately — more wins on the board than Madura United.
  • Madura United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Madura United Clean Sheet 16%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madura United FC Bhayangkara
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Madura United
3:1
Sep 12, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs FC Bhayangkara
0:0
Mar 1, 2024 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Madura United
3:2
Aug 25, 2023 Super League
Madura United vs FC Bhayangkara
0:0
Feb 20, 2023 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Madura United
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madura United 48 / 100
FC Bhayangkara 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madura United FC Bhayangkara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madura United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Bhayangkara let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Madura United's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Madura United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madura United VS FC Bhayangkara
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Madura United

(Home)
09 Oct
Persik Kediri
2 : 0
Madura United
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0
Persijap Jepara
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3
Madura United
Page 1 of 6

FC Bhayangkara

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 0
Isenmulang Kalteng
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1
Persebaya
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 Madura United 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
4 Persita 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
5 Persebaya 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
6 Persik Kediri 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
7 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
8 Arema FC 4 1 3 0 10:6 6
9 FC Bhayangkara 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
10 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
11 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 4 0 0 4 1:11 -2
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