Sport Picks
Madura United vs Persebaya
Indonesia
Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Madura United play Persebaya in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Madura United averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Persebaya averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Madura United won 1, Persebaya won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Madura United and 1.63 for Persebaya. This points to a Persebaya double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Madura United picked up more points recently compared to Persebaya.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.63 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madura United | Persebaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Madura United Compare
Persebaya Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Madura United scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Persebaya let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Madura United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Persebaya lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |