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Madura United vs Persijap Jepara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan
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Match Events

38'
Juan Douglas
41'
Ofori S.
54' Event
Mitkov D.
Assist: Iran Junior

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Madura United and Persijap Jepara finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madura United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Madura United
15%
Draws
7%
Persijap Jepara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madura United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Madura United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Madura United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Madura United here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Madura United Clean Sheet 68%
Persijap Jepara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madura United Persijap Jepara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.34 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs Persijap Jepara
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Super League
Persijap Jepara vs Madura United
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs Persijap Jepara
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madura United Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitkov D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Persijap Jepara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madura United 95 / 100
Persijap Jepara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madura United Persijap Jepara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madura United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madura United scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Persijap Jepara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Madura United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Madura United VS Persijap Jepara
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Madura United

(Home)
09 Oct
Persik Kediri
2 : 0
Madura United
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0
Persijap Jepara
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3
Madura United
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Persijap Jepara

(Away)
10 Oct
Bali United
6 : 1
Persijap Jepara
20 Sept
Persijap Jepara
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
12 Sept
Persijap Jepara
0 : 1
Borneo
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0
Persijap Jepara
23 May
Persib Bandung
0 : 0
Persijap Jepara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 Madura United 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
4 Persita 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
5 Persebaya 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
6 Persik Kediri 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
7 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
8 Arema FC 4 1 3 0 10:6 6
9 FC Bhayangkara 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
10 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
11 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 4 0 0 4 1:11 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)