Sport Picks
Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan 
Match Events
15'
15'
Haljeta N.
Assist: Vidal E.
24'
24'
Vidal E.
40'
40'
Monteiro P.
AI Match Summary
Madura United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Madura United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madura United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Madura United lately — more wins on the board than PSIM Yogyakarta.
- 78% — that's where the model lands on Madura United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors PSIM Yogyakarta here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Madura United Clean Sheet 20%
PSIM Yogyakarta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madura United | PSIM Yogyakarta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2:1
May 17, 2026 Super League
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Madura United
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Madura United Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendonca
1 Goals Assists Leader Freitas Gali
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
PSIM Yogyakarta Compare
Top Goalscorer Haljeta N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Madura United 85 / 100
PSIM Yogyakarta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Madura United PSIM Yogyakarta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Madura United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Madura United's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
PSIM Yogyakarta let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Madura United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Madura United VS PSIM Yogyakarta
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Madura United
(Home) 09 Oct
Persik Kediri
2 : 0 Madura United
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3 Madura United
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0 Persijap Jepara
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3 Madura United
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0 Persijap Jepara
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0 PSM Makassar
05 May
Madura United
2 : 0 Bali United
25 Apr
Madura United
1 : 2 Dewa United
Page 1 of 3
PSIM Yogyakarta
(Away) 10 Oct
PSIM Yogyakarta
0 : 4 Persija Jakarta
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
PSIM Yogyakarta
1 : 1 Persita
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
04 May
Persib Bandung
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
17 Apr
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Dewa United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Bali United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Madura United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Persita | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 6 | Persebaya | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Arema FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:6 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Bhayangkara | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Borneo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 12 | PSS Sleman | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 13 | Java United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 2 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 16 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 17 | Persijap Jepara | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:11 | -2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)
