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Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Ze Valente
45'
Diansyah N.
45'
Ramos Mingo F.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Madura United and PSIM Yogyakarta finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSIM Yogyakarta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Madura United
33%
Draws
27%
PSIM Yogyakarta
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Madura United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSIM Yogyakarta come out ahead of Madura United on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Madura United taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Madura United Clean Sheet 20%
PSIM Yogyakarta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madura United PSIM Yogyakarta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Madura United
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madura United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

PSIM Yogyakarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Sudin F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos Mingo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madura United 40 / 100
PSIM Yogyakarta 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madura United PSIM Yogyakarta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Madura United scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

PSIM Yogyakarta has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Madura United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Madura United VS PSIM Yogyakarta
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518