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Madureira U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Madureira U20 play Portuguesa RJ U20 in the Copa Rio U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Madureira U20 averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Portuguesa RJ U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Madureira U20 won 1, Portuguesa RJ U20 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 9, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Madureira U20 and 1.44 for Portuguesa RJ U20. This points to a Madureira U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Madureira U20
27%
Draws
35%
Portuguesa RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Madureira U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Madureira U20 picked up more points recently compared to Portuguesa RJ U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Portuguesa RJ U20 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madureira U20 Portuguesa RJ U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Madureira U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20
0:0
Aug 4, 2024 Carioca U20
Portuguesa RJ U20 vs Madureira U20
0:4
Mar 10, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Portuguesa RJ U20 vs Madureira U20
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madureira U20 37 / 100
Portuguesa RJ U20 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madureira U20 Portuguesa RJ U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Madureira U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Madureira U20 attacking → ← attacking Portuguesa RJ U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madureira U20 scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Portuguesa RJ U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Madureira U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Portuguesa RJ U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 34
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botafogo RJ U20761015:419
2Vasco U20752021:617
3Marica U20750210:615
4Boavista U20730412:129
5America RJ U20722310:118
6Artsul U2072149:167
7Americano RJ U2071066:143
8Bangu U2070256:202
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Resende U2075028:515
2Flamengo RJ U20741218:713
3Fluminense U20741211:413
4Nova Iguacu U2073227:411
5Madureira U2073226:611
6Volta Redonda U2073137:810
7Portuguesa RJ U2071243:135
8Sampaio Correa FE U2070165:181