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Madureira U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Erick
85'
Marcal R.

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa RJ U20 in this Carioca U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuguesa RJ U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Madureira U20
17%
Draws
70%
Portuguesa RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Portuguesa RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Portuguesa RJ U20 have won more games recently than Madureira U20.
  • Win probability leans Portuguesa RJ U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Portuguesa RJ U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madureira U20 Portuguesa RJ U20
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Madureira U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20
0:0
Aug 4, 2024 Carioca U20
Portuguesa RJ U20 vs Madureira U20
0:4
Mar 10, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Portuguesa RJ U20 vs Madureira U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madureira U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Portuguesa RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Erick
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madureira U20 15 / 100
Portuguesa RJ U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madureira U20 Portuguesa RJ U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portuguesa RJ U20 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Madureira U20 scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Madureira U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madureira U20 VS Portuguesa RJ U20
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Madureira U20

(Home)
05 Apr
Sampaio Correa U20
2 : 1
Madureira U20
28 Mar
Madureira U20
1 : 0
Marica U20
25 Mar
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Madureira U20
21 Mar
Madureira U20
2 : 1
Flamengo RJ U20
18 Mar
America RJ U20
3 : 0
Madureira U20
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Portuguesa RJ U20

(Away)
04 Apr
Resende U20
0 : 3
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Mar
Portuguesa RJ U20
0 : 4
Fluminense U20
25 Mar
Botafogo RJ U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
22 Mar
Boavista U20
2 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
18 Mar
Portuguesa RJ U20
4 : 1
Volta Redonda U20
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco U201182124:1026
2Flamengo RJ U201181227:925
3Botafogo RJ U201161419:1219
4Fluminense U201153314:1118
5Volta Redonda U201152414:2417
6Bangu U201143410:1415
7Marica U201142511:1314
8Portuguesa RJ U201141612:1013
9Sampaio Correa FE U201134414:1913
10Madureira U201133514:1912
11Nova Iguacu U20112279:178
12Boavista U201112810:205
Promotion - Carioca U20 2025 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)