Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Madureira U20 vs Vasco U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 game between Madureira U20 and Vasco U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Madureira U20
35%
Draws
46%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of Madureira U20 on wins alone.
  • Vasco U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Carioca U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vasco U20 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madureira U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 9 31
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Mar 25, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1
Mar 29, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madureira U20 26 / 100
Vasco U20 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madureira U20 Vasco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Madureira U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Madureira U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vasco U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 45 matches.

Scoring Trends

Madureira U20 VS Vasco U20
1.25 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Madureira U20

(Home)
10 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Madureira U20
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
19 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

Vasco U20

(Away)
08 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 2
Vasco U20
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 10 8 2 0 26:7 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 9 8 0 1 25:8 24
3 Vasco U20 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
4 Botafogo RJ U20 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 4 3 3 13:18 15
6 Bangu U20 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
7 Nova Iguacu U20 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
8 Madureira U20 10 1 7 2 11:14 10
9 Marica U20 10 2 2 6 11:18 8
10 Boavista U20 10 2 2 6 12:21 8
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 10 1 2 7 7:16 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)