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Madureira U20 vs Vasco U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Vasco U20 have shipped 0.62 goals a game lately, while Madureira U20 have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Madureira U20 have won 0 to Vasco U20's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 2.31) point toward Vasco U20. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Madureira U20
35%
Draws
46%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vasco U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Vasco U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vasco U20 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madureira U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 26
Draws 12 3
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.95
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Mar 25, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1
Mar 29, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madureira U20 14 / 100
Vasco U20 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madureira U20 Vasco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Madureira U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Madureira U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Vasco U20 conceded in 49% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Madureira U20 VS Vasco U20
1.25 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Madureira U20

(Home)
17 Oct
Bangu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
10 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Madureira U20
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
Page 1 of 6

Vasco U20

(Away)
17 Oct
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
11 Oct
Vasco U20
4 : 0
Flamengo RJ U20
08 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 2
Vasco U20
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fluminense U20 -
Nova Iguacu U20 -
Botafogo RJ U20 -
Bangu U20 -
Vasco U20 -
Madureira U20 -
Flamengo RJ U20 -
Sampaio Correa FE U20 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -