Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
35%
51%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boavista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Madureira lately — more wins on the board than Boavista.
- Boavista are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Madureira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Madureira, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Madureira Clean Sheet 14%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madureira | Boavista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Copa Rio
Madureira vs Boavista
0:0
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Rio
Boavista vs Madureira
2:0
Feb 13, 2026 Carioca
Madureira vs Boavista
2:1
Jan 30, 2025 Carioca
Boavista vs Madureira
0:0
Feb 1, 2024 Carioca
Madureira vs Boavista
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Madureira 11 / 100
Boavista 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Madureira Boavista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boavista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Madureira scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Boavista has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Madureira has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Madureira VS Boavista
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Madureira
(Home) 23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Madureira
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
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23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1 Bonsucesso
06 Jun
Madureira
1 : 0 Pouso Alegre
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Boavista
(Away) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0 Boavista
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1 Boavista
28 Feb
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Boavista
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
