Sport Picks
Madureira vs Sampaio Correa FE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Rio 
Match Events
36'
36'
MT
90'
90'
Paulo Victor
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sampaio Correa FE lately — more wins on the board than Madureira.
- Sampaio Correa FE are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Sampaio Correa FE arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sampaio Correa FE, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Madureira Clean Sheet 23%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madureira | Sampaio Correa FE |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Madureira vs Sampaio Correa FE
0:2
Sep 16, 2026 Copa Rio
Sampaio Correa FE vs Madureira
1:1
Jan 22, 2026 Carioca
Madureira vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Carioca
Sampaio Correa FE vs Madureira
4:2
Mar 12, 2025 Carioca
Madureira vs Sampaio Correa FE
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Madureira Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Sampaio Correa FE Compare
Top Goalscorer MT
1 Goals Assists Leader Paulo Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Madureira 29 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Madureira Sampaio Correa FE
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sampaio Correa FE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Madureira scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Sampaio Correa FE let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.
Madureira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Madureira VS Sampaio Correa FE
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Madureira
(Home) 23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Madureira
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1 Bonsucesso
06 Jun
Madureira
1 : 0 Pouso Alegre
Page 1 of 4
Sampaio Correa FE
(Away) 23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Madureira
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0 Sao Goncalo
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1 Sampaio Correa FE
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
