Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Sichinga Z.
78'
78'
Chirwa C.
89'
89'
Sibale G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karonga United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Karonga United lately — more wins on the board than MAFCO.
- MAFCO are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
MAFCO Clean Sheet 20%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MAFCO | Karonga United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Super League
Karonga United vs MAFCO
1:1
Oct 15, 2025 Super League
MAFCO vs Karonga United
2:2
Apr 13, 2025 Super League
Karonga United vs MAFCO
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
Karonga United vs MAFCO
3:1
Jul 17, 2024 Super League
MAFCO vs Karonga United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MAFCO Compare
Top Goalscorer Sichinga Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chirwa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Karonga United Compare
Top Goalscorer Sibale G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mfune A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MAFCO 36 / 100
Karonga United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MAFCO Karonga United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karonga United let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Karonga United lost 3 of their last 5 games.
MAFCO found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
MAFCO VS Karonga United
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
MAFCO
(Home) 08 Aug
MAFCO
0 : 1 Blue Eagles
26 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
4 : 1 MAFCO
18 Jul
MAFCO
2 : 0 Red Lions
05 Jul
Mighty Wanderers FC
3 : 0 MAFCO
28 Jun
Ekhaya
1 : 0 MAFCO
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
MAFCO
0 : 1 Blue Eagles
18 Jul
MAFCO
2 : 0 Red Lions
20 Jun
MAFCO
3 : 0 Dedza Dynamos
24 May
MAFCO
2 : 0 Chitipa United
09 May
MAFCO
0 : 0 Creck Sporting
Page 1 of 3
Karonga United
(Away) 09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1 Karonga United
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1 Creck Sporting
19 Jul
Silver Strikers
4 : 1 Karonga United
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3 Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Karonga United
0 : 0 Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1 Karonga United
19 Jul
Silver Strikers
4 : 1 Karonga United
21 Jun
Blue Eagles
3 : 2 Karonga United
27 May
Mighty Wanderers FC
4 : 1 Karonga United
24 May
Civo Utd
0 : 1 Karonga United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Wanderers FC | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 51:14 | 69 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 60:20 | 66 |
| 3 | Silver Strikers | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 50:18 | 64 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:30 | 48 |
| 5 | Civo Utd | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 39:21 | 47 |
| 6 | Karonga United | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 31:28 | 44 |
| 7 | Ekhaya | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 36:28 | 42 |
| 8 | Creck Sporting | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | 42 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 28:40 | 40 |
| 10 | Kamuzu Barracks | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 31:35 | 39 |
| 11 | Chitipa United | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 23:30 | 37 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 24:33 | 32 |
| 13 | MAFCO | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29:37 | 31 |
| 14 | Mzuzu City | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:49 | 28 |
| 15 | Mighty Tigers | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 21:35 | 27 |
| 16 | Songwe Border | 30 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 10:77 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
