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MAFCO vs Mighty Wanderers FC

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
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Match Events

51' Event
Mwalilino B.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between MAFCO and Mighty Wanderers FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mighty Wanderers FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
MAFCO
6%
Draws
90%
Mighty Wanderers FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mighty Wanderers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • MAFCO haven't matched Mighty Wanderers FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mighty Wanderers FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
MAFCO Clean Sheet 19%
Mighty Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MAFCO Mighty Wanderers FC
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 9 20
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs MAFCO
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 Super League
MAFCO vs Mighty Wanderers FC
0:1
May 15, 2025 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs MAFCO
2:0
Nov 27, 2024 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs MAFCO
2:2
Jul 21, 2024 Super League
MAFCO vs Mighty Wanderers FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MAFCO Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mighty Wanderers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwalilino B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MAFCO 10 / 100
Mighty Wanderers FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MAFCO Mighty Wanderers FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

MAFCO's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Mighty Wanderers FC let in goals in 39% of their last 33 matches.

MAFCO went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MAFCO VS Mighty Wanderers FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mighty Wanderers FC30209151:1469
2Big Bullets30213660:2066
3Silver Strikers301810250:1864
4Blue Eagles30139838:3048
5Civo Utd30138939:2147
6Karonga United301351231:2844
7Ekhaya301331436:2842
8Creck Sporting301191025:2742
9Moyale Barracks3010101028:4040
10Kamuzu Barracks301161331:3539
11Chitipa United309101123:3037
12Dedza Dynamos30881424:3332
13MAFCO30871529:3731
14Mzuzu City30771626:4928
15Mighty Tigers30691521:3527
16Songwe Border30132610:776