Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Rodrigues C.
19'
19'
Konate Y.
25'
25'
Rodrigues C.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 game between Mafra U19 and Alverca U19 finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mafra U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Mafra U19 haven't matched Alverca U19's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Alverca U19's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Mafra U19 Clean Sheet 22%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mafra U19 | Alverca U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Mafra U19
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Mafra U19
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mafra U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Dias P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Alverca U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodrigues C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Konate Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mafra U19 24 / 100
Alverca U19 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mafra U19 Alverca U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alverca U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Mafra U19's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Alverca U19 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Mafra U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mafra U19 VS Alverca U19
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mafra U19
(Home) 12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0 Mafra U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2 Mafra U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1 Mafra U19
08 Aug
Mafra U19
0 : 1 Oriental U19
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
08 Aug
Mafra U19
0 : 1 Oriental U19
25 Apr
Mafra U19
3 : 0 Academico Viseu U19
21 Mar
Mafra U19
1 : 1 Torreense U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Tondela U19
Page 1 of 3
Alverca U19
(Away) 13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0 Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5 Alverca U19
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0 Alverca U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5 Alverca U19
14 Mar
Academico Viseu U19
0 : 0 Alverca U19
21 Feb
Mafra U19
3 : 1 Alverca U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Feirense U19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Braga U19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Rio Ave U19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 7 | Moreirense U19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu U19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 9 | Famalicao U19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 10 | Vizela U19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Sporting CP U19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Oriental U19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra U19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 5 | Santa Clara U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 7 | SC Farense U19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 8 | Casa Pia U19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 9 | Leiria U19 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 10 | Alverca U19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)
