Sport Picks

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Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Paulino A.
Own Goal
6' Event
Serra S.
77' Event
Balde A.

AI Match Summary

Mafra U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mafra U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mafra U19
20%
Draws
23%
Alverca U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mafra U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mafra U19 haven't matched Alverca U19's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Mafra U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Mafra U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mafra U19 Alverca U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Mafra U19
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Mafra U19
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mafra U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Serra S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balde A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alverca U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra U19 50 / 100
Alverca U19 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mafra U19 Alverca U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mafra U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Mafra U19 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Alverca U19 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Mafra U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mafra U19 VS Alverca U19
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra U19

(Home)
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2
Mafra U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
08 Aug
Mafra U19
0 : 1
Oriental U19
25 Apr
Mafra U19
3 : 0
Academico Viseu U19
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Alverca U19

(Away)
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5
Alverca U19
11 Apr
Alverca U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
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