Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mafra U19 vs Belenenses U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Malaquias S.
27' Event
Varela D.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Saldanha R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Mafra U19
20%
Draws
0%
Belenenses U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mafra U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Mafra U19 average 1.2 goals a game right now, well clear of Belenenses U19's 0.7.
  • Mafra U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mafra U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Belenenses U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mafra U19 Belenenses U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.2 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.97 0.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Mafra U19
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Belenenses U19
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Belenenses U19
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Mafra U19
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Belenenses U19 vs Mafra U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mafra U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malaquias S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saldanha R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.98

Belenenses U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nogueira D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.54
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra U19 95 / 100
Belenenses U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mafra U19 Belenenses U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mafra U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belenenses U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Mafra U19 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Belenenses U19 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mafra U19 VS Belenenses U19
1.38 Goals Scored 0.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.57
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2
Mafra U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
Page 1 of 6

Belenenses U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5
Alverca U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
04 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 3
Academico Viseu U19
21 Mar
Academico Viseu U19
3 : 0
Belenenses U19
14 Mar
Torreense U19
4 : 1
Belenenses U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)