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Mafra vs Vilafranquense

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Augusto L.

AI Match Summary

Mafra in this Club Friendly 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mafra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mafra
20%
Draws
29%
Vilafranquense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mafra lately — more wins on the board than Vilafranquense.
  • Mafra are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Mafra Clean Sheet 68%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mafra Vilafranquense
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Mafra vs Vilafranquense
2:1
Dec 23, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Mafra
3:3
Jul 27, 2022 Club Friendly
Mafra vs Vilafranquense
1:0
Feb 6, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Mafra
2:0
Nov 21, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Vilafranquense vs Mafra
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mafra Compare

Top Goalscorer Augusto L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Vilafranquense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra 59 / 100
Vilafranquense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mafra Vilafranquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mafra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mafra scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Vilafranquense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Mafra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mafra VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
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Vilafranquense

(Away)
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0
Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0
Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1
Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0
Torreense
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