Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mafra vs Vilafranquense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Martins B.
(Penalty)
57'
Suliman E.
58' Event
Pacheco P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Mafra in this Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mafra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mafra
20%
Draws
29%
Vilafranquense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mafra lately — more wins on the board than Vilafranquense.
  • Mafra are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Mafra Clean Sheet 68%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mafra Vilafranquense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Mafra vs Vilafranquense
2:1
Dec 23, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Mafra
3:3
Jul 27, 2022 Club Friendly
Mafra vs Vilafranquense
1:0
Feb 6, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Mafra
2:0
Nov 21, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Vilafranquense vs Mafra
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra 59 / 100
Vilafranquense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mafra Vilafranquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mafra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mafra's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Vilafranquense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Mafra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mafra VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
Page 1 of 7

Vilafranquense

(Away)
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0
Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0
Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1
Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 34 24 7 3 77:38 79
2 SC Farense 34 21 6 7 57:34 69
3 Estrela da Amadora 34 16 15 3 55:35 63
4 Academico Viseu 34 14 11 9 51:45 53
5 FC Porto B 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
6 Mafra 34 12 11 11 46:49 47
7 Vilafranquense 34 12 10 12 42:36 46
8 Feirense 34 11 13 10 43:37 46
9 Torreense 34 13 5 16 38:41 44
10 Oliveirense 34 11 10 13 51:50 43
11 Tondela 34 8 16 10 35:35 40
12 Penafiel 34 9 12 13 36:47 39
13 Nacional 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
14 Benfica B 34 10 8 16 52:58 38
15 Leixoes 34 10 9 15 38:49 38
16 BSAD 34 9 8 17 41:59 35
17 Trofense 34 8 8 18 31:51 32
18 Covilha 34 7 7 20 31:57 28
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)