Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Magallanes vs A. Italiano

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Santiago Bueras
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Berrios E.
28'
Arevalo M.
36'
Jorquera C.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Chile game between Magallanes and A. Italiano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Italiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Magallanes
17%
Draws
70%
A. Italiano
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: A. Italiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A. Italiano come out ahead of Magallanes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans A. Italiano's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Chile fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors A. Italiano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 16%
A. Italiano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magallanes A. Italiano
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Copa Chile
Magallanes vs A. Italiano
0:1
Jun 27, 2026 Copa Chile
A. Italiano vs Magallanes
2:1
Dec 2, 2023 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Magallanes
0:2
May 13, 2023 Liga de Primera
Magallanes vs A. Italiano
1:2
Jul 5, 2021 Copa Chile
A. Italiano vs Magallanes
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magallanes 15 / 100
A. Italiano 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magallanes A. Italiano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magallanes's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

A. Italiano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Magallanes stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magallanes VS A. Italiano
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo52307:39
2Deportes Iquique52219:58
3Limache522110:88
4San Marcos de Arica50142:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica650114:915
2Everton622210:98
3San Luis613211:106
4Copiapo61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antofagasta651012:516
2Cobreloa62227:68
3La Serena62137:107
4Cobresal60242:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. De Chile531112:710
2Union La Calera52219:68
3San Felipe52126:77
4S. Wanderers51047:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo531112:810
2O Higgins522110:78
3Recoleta51225:85
4U. Espanola51134:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nublense53118:510
2Curico Unido52217:68
3Rangers52034:66
4U. De Concepcion51137:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportes Santa Cruz641111:613
2A. Italiano64029:712
3Palestino631212:910
4Magallanes60065:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Concepcion641110:613
2D. Puerto Montt63128:610
3Huachipato62047:96
4Deportes Temuco61234:85