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Magallanes vs A. Italiano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Santiago Bueras, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Berrios E.
28'
Arevalo M.
36'
Jorquera C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Magallanes
30%
Draws
33%
A. Italiano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Magallanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Magallanes's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what A. Italiano have produced (1.3).
  • Win probability leans Magallanes's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor A. Italiano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • A. Italiano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 20%
A. Italiano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magallanes A. Italiano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Copa Chile
Magallanes vs A. Italiano
0:1
Jun 27, 2026 Copa Chile
A. Italiano vs Magallanes
2:1
Dec 2, 2023 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Magallanes
0:2
May 13, 2023 Liga de Primera
Magallanes vs A. Italiano
1:2
Jul 5, 2021 Copa Chile
A. Italiano vs Magallanes
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magallanes 67 / 100
A. Italiano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magallanes A. Italiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magallanes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magallanes found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

A. Italiano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Magallanes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magallanes VS A. Italiano
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Magallanes

(Home)
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1
Magallanes
Page 1 of 6

A. Italiano

(Away)
25 Sept
Colo Colo
1 : 0
A. Italiano
22 Sept
A. Italiano
0 : 0
Colo Colo
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
05 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
A. Italiano
30 Aug
Colo Colo
5 : 1
A. Italiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 O Higgins 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 Recoleta 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
4 U. Espanola 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)