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Magallanes vs Antofagasta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santiago Bueras, Santiago de Chile
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Magallanes host Antofagasta in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Magallanes at 1.5 goals for, 1.61 against; Antofagasta at 1.9 for, 0.87 against. Past meetings favor Magallanes slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.13, favoring Antofagasta. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Magallanes
20%
Draws
45%
Antofagasta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antofagasta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Magallanes haven't matched Antofagasta's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 20%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magallanes Antofagasta
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Magallanes
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Antofagasta
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Magallanes
5:0
Oct 7, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Antofagasta
1:0
May 19, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Magallanes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magallanes 32 / 100
Antofagasta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magallanes Antofagasta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magallanes scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Magallanes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Antofagasta has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Magallanes VS Antofagasta
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Magallanes

(Home)
17 Oct
Magallanes
0 : 1
San Luis
10 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Magallanes
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
Page 1 of 6

Antofagasta

(Away)
18 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Antofagasta
11 Oct
Antofagasta
3 : 0
San Marcos de Arica
07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
U. De Chile
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
Rangers
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Luis 28 15 8 5 43:29 53
2 Cobreloa 28 14 9 5 51:30 51
3 S. Wanderers 28 13 8 7 46:31 47
4 Magallanes 28 13 7 8 44:40 46
5 Antofagasta 28 12 9 7 47:26 45
6 Recoleta 28 11 8 9 40:42 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 28 10 10 8 33:27 40
8 Copiapo 28 11 7 10 42:41 40
9 U. Espanola 28 11 6 11 33:35 39
10 Deportes Temuco 28 9 9 10 44:39 36
11 Deportes Iquique 28 8 11 9 38:32 35
12 D. Puerto Montt 28 10 5 13 26:35 35
13 Curico Unido 28 7 10 11 26:42 28
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 28 4 11 13 28:42 23
15 San Felipe 28 5 8 15 18:50 23
16 Rangers 28 5 6 17 28:46 21
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)