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Magallanes vs Curico Unido

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santiago Bueras, Santiago de Chile
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Magallanes host Curico Unido in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Curico Unido have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Magallanes have conceded 1.75 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Magallanes have won 1 to Curico Unido's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.38, favoring Magallanes. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Magallanes
17%
Draws
70%
Curico Unido
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Curico Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Magallanes come out ahead of Curico Unido on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Curico Unido's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 17%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magallanes Curico Unido
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Curico Unido
0:0
Feb 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Magallanes
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Curico Unido
0:0
Mar 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Magallanes
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Curico Unido
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magallanes 15 / 100
Curico Unido 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magallanes Curico Unido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magallanes scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Curico Unido's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Magallanes stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magallanes VS Curico Unido
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Magallanes

(Home)
02 Aug
Magallanes
3 : 2
U. Espanola
26 Jul
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 0
Magallanes
11 Jul
Magallanes
0 : 1
A. Italiano
04 Jul
Magallanes
1 : 2
Palestino
27 Jun
A. Italiano
2 : 1
Magallanes
Page 1 of 6

Curico Unido

(Away)
01 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Cobreloa
25 Jul
Curico Unido
1 : 2
San Luis
05 Jul
Nublense
2 : 2
Curico Unido
28 Jun
Curico Unido
2 : 2
U. De Concepcion
21 Jun
Curico Unido
1 : 0
Nublense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 17 9 6 2 34:19 33
2 S. Wanderers 17 9 5 3 34:19 32
3 San Marcos de Arica 17 7 8 2 22:12 29
4 D. Puerto Montt 17 9 2 6 21:18 29
5 San Luis 17 7 6 4 27:23 27
6 Antofagasta 17 7 5 5 29:20 26
7 U. Espanola 17 7 4 6 25:23 25
8 Magallanes 17 7 4 6 27:28 25
9 Deportes Temuco 16 6 5 5 26:19 23
10 Copiapo 16 6 5 5 21:23 23
11 Recoleta 17 6 4 7 25:27 22
12 Curico Unido 17 4 7 6 17:26 19
13 Deportes Iquique 17 3 8 6 21:24 17
14 San Felipe 17 4 4 9 14:34 16
15 Deportes Santa Cruz 17 2 6 9 22:33 12
16 Rangers 17 0 5 12 12:29 5
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)