Sport Picks
Magallanes vs Curico Unido - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santiago Bueras, Santiago de Chile 
Match Events
28'
28'
Sarria G.
36'
36'
Walters A.
46'
46'
Sub
Sepulveda M. In: Yanez F.
Out: Sepulveda M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Magallanes and Curico Unido finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magallanes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
63%
20%
17%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Magallanes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Magallanes come out ahead of Curico Unido on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Magallanes's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 20%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Magallanes | Curico Unido |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Curico Unido
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Magallanes
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Curico Unido
0:0
Mar 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs Magallanes
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Curico Unido
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Magallanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Jorquera C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Curico Unido Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Magallanes 85 / 100
Curico Unido 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Magallanes Curico Unido
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Magallanes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Magallanes went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Magallanes's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Curico Unido let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Curico Unido's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Magallanes VS Curico Unido
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Magallanes
(Home) 10 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Magallanes
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0 Curico Unido
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0 San Felipe
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0 Curico Unido
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0 San Felipe
22 Aug
Magallanes
1 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
12 Aug
Magallanes
2 : 2 Cobreloa
Page 1 of 3
Curico Unido
(Away) 10 Oct
S. Wanderers
1 : 2 Curico Unido
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0 Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0 Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4 D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
S. Wanderers
1 : 2 Curico Unido
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0 Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0 Curico Unido
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
05 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Curico Unido
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 4 | S. Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:40 | 27 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28:42 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
