Sport Picks
Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santiago Bueras, Santiago de Chile 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sub
Jorquera C. In: Neira E.
Out: Jorquera C.
27'
27'
Sepulveda M.
46'
46'
Sub
Gonzalez J. In: Brito P.
Out: Gonzalez J.
AI Match Summary
Magallanes in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Magallanes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Magallanes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Magallanes lately — more wins on the board than Deportes Santa Cruz.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Magallanes taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Magallanes | Deportes Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes
2:2
Feb 6, 2026 Copa Chile
Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:2
Jan 31, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Magallanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Fredes M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Deportes Santa Cruz Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Magallanes 67 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Magallanes Deportes Santa Cruz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Magallanes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Magallanes's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Deportes Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Magallanes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Magallanes VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Magallanes
(Home) 03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0 Curico Unido
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0 San Felipe
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0 Curico Unido
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0 San Felipe
22 Aug
Magallanes
1 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
12 Aug
Magallanes
2 : 2 Cobreloa
Page 1 of 3
Deportes Santa Cruz
(Away) 03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3 O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
22 Aug
Magallanes
1 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
14 Aug
Curico Unido
1 : 2 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38:34 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27:40 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
