Sport Picks

Chile

Liga de Ascenso 2025 Estadio Santiago Bueras

Magallanes

0 - 1

S. Morning

Our Tip

Match Events

Vasquez K.

13'

Osorio M.

20'

Walters A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

S. Morning in this Liga de Ascenso 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Morning.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Magallanes

40%

Draws

29%

S. Morning

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Magallanes at 1.5 per game, S. Morning at 0.88.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Magallanes Clean Sheet 15%

S. Morning Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Magallanes	S. Morning
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	9	9
Draws	4	8
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	1.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.25	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Liga de Ascenso

Magallanes vs S. Morning

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Jun 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso

S. Morning vs Magallanes

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

May 9, 2025 Copa Chile

S. Morning vs Magallanes

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Feb 16, 2025 Copa Chile

Magallanes vs S. Morning

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Aug 4, 2024 Liga de Ascenso

S. Morning vs Magallanes

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magallanes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

S. Morning Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magallanes 31 / 100

S. Morning 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Magallanes S. Morning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magallanes found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

S. Morning let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: S. Morning has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Magallanes VS S. Morning

1.5 Goals Scored 0.88

2.25 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. De Concepcion	30	17	4	9	41:26	55
2	Copiapo	30	14	10	6	38:20	52
3	Cobreloa	30	14	8	8	44:42	50
4	San Marcos de Arica	30	14	6	10	39:35	48
5	Antofagasta	30	11	10	9	43:33	43
6	D. Concepcion	30	12	7	11	42:38	43
7	Rangers	30	10	13	7	35:35	43
8	S. Wanderers	30	10	11	9	41:37	41
9	San Luis	30	9	12	9	30:35	39
10	Magallanes	30	9	8	13	28:33	35
11	Recoleta	30	8	11	11	28:37	35
12	Deportes Temuco	30	7	12	11	34:39	33
13	Curico Unido	30	7	10	13	32:39	31
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	30	7	10	13	30:39	31
15	San Felipe	30	8	6	16	30:38	30
16	S. Morning	30	10	8	12	27:36	29