Sport Picks
Magallanes vs S. Wanderers
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santiago Bueras, Santiago de Chile 
Match Events
25'
25'
Camarda M.
35'
35'
Navarro L.
35'
35'
Coronel S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Magallanes and S. Wanderers finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward S. Wanderers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Magallanes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- S. Wanderers's 1.66 goals per match outpaces what Magallanes have produced (1.57).
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Magallanes taking it.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 68%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Magallanes | S. Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs S. Wanderers
2:3
Nov 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Magallanes
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs S. Wanderers
0:0
Aug 11, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs S. Wanderers
2:1
Mar 31, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Magallanes
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Magallanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Vasquez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alegre M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
S. Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Camarda M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Silva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Magallanes 59 / 100
S. Wanderers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Magallanes S. Wanderers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Magallanes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Magallanes scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
S. Wanderers let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Magallanes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Magallanes VS S. Wanderers
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Magallanes
(Home) 15 Aug
Rangers
2 : 3 Magallanes
12 Aug
Magallanes
2 : 2 Cobreloa
09 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 4 Magallanes
02 Aug
Magallanes
3 : 2 U. Espanola
26 Jul
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 0 Magallanes
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Magallanes
2 : 2 Cobreloa
02 Aug
Magallanes
3 : 2 U. Espanola
11 Jul
Magallanes
0 : 1 A. Italiano
04 Jul
Magallanes
1 : 2 Palestino
31 May
Magallanes
4 : 3 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
S. Wanderers
(Away) 16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
13 Aug
Antofagasta
0 : 0 S. Wanderers
08 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
05 Aug
S. Wanderers
0 : 4 Union La Calera
02 Aug
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3 S. Wanderers
Page 1 of 6
13 Aug
Antofagasta
0 : 0 S. Wanderers
02 Aug
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3 S. Wanderers
28 Jun
Union La Calera
4 : 0 S. Wanderers
21 Jun
U. De Chile
4 : 1 S. Wanderers
06 Jun
Copiapo
1 : 0 S. Wanderers
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 38:22 | 38 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36:21 | 35 |
| 3 | San Luis | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31:25 | 32 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36:35 | 32 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:21 | 31 |
| 6 | D. Puerto Montt | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 22:20 | 31 |
| 7 | U. Espanola | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos de Arica | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24:16 | 30 |
| 9 | Copiapo | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30:29 | 30 |
| 10 | Recoleta | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 30:30 | 27 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 27:26 | 22 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18:32 | 20 |
| 14 | San Felipe | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15:35 | 20 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers | 20 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 16:36 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
