Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Magdeburg II vs Erfurt

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Widmann E.
34' Event
Hajrulla R.
36' Event
Hajrulla R.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Magdeburg II and Erfurt finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erfurt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Magdeburg II
6%
Draws
90%
Erfurt
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Erfurt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Magdeburg II haven't matched Erfurt's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Erfurt taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Magdeburg II Clean Sheet 10%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magdeburg II Erfurt
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Magdeburg II vs Erfurt
2:3
Aug 31, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Erfurt vs Magdeburg II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magdeburg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Widmann E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Erfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Hajrulla R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Caciel B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magdeburg II 10 / 100
Erfurt 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magdeburg II Erfurt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magdeburg II scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Erfurt has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Magdeburg II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magdeburg II VS Erfurt
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Magdeburg II

(Home)
11 Jul
Magdeburg II
1 : 1
Hannoverscher SC
04 Jul
Magdeburg II
2 : 0
Hildesheim
30 Jun
Magdeburg II
2 : 2
Schoningen
16 May
Lokomotive Leipzig
5 : 2
Magdeburg II
10 May
Magdeburg II
6 : 4
Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6

Erfurt

(Away)
24 Jul
Erfurt
4 : 1
BFC Dynamo
18 Jul
Erfurt
1 : 0
Kassel
11 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 3
Mainz II
10 Jul
Erfurt
0 : 0
Nurnberg II
05 Jul
Union Muhlhausen
1 : 8
Erfurt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)