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Mageense vs Rio Barra

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Marcao
50' Event
Marcelo J.
58' Event
Caldeira W.

AI Match Summary

Rio Barra in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Barra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Mageense
30%
Draws
58%
Rio Barra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Barra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Barra have won more games recently than Mageense.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Rio Barra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mageense Clean Sheet 15%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mageense Rio Barra
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.05 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Carioca C
Mageense vs Rio Barra
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mageense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Rio Barra Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mageense 15 / 100
Rio Barra 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mageense Rio Barra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Barra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Rio Barra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Mageense scored in 56% of their last 18 outings.

Solid form: Mageense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mageense VS Rio Barra
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mageense

(Home)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
07 Jun
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Mageense
01 Jun
Mageense
0 : 4
Rio Barra
24 May
Buzios
1 : 1
Mageense
Page 1 of 4

Rio Barra

(Away)
12 Jul
Buzios
1 : 1
Rio Barra
06 Jul
Rio Barra
0 : 1
Buzios
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 2
Rio Barra
07 Jun
Rio Barra
0 : 4
Campos AA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)