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Mageense vs Serra Macaense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
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Match Events

16'
Ryckellmy Santos Roza W.
16'
Darlan
52' Event
Ruan E.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Mageense and Serra Macaense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra Macaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Mageense
20%
Draws
70%
Serra Macaense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serra Macaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Serra Macaense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Serra Macaense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mageense Clean Sheet 15%
Serra Macaense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mageense Serra Macaense
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 1 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.05 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Carioca B2
Mageense vs Serra Macaense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mageense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Serra Macaense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mageense 10 / 100
Serra Macaense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mageense Serra Macaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Macaense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serra Macaense has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Mageense scored in 56% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Mageense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mageense VS Serra Macaense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mageense

(Home)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
07 Jun
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Mageense
01 Jun
Mageense
0 : 4
Rio Barra
24 May
Buzios
1 : 1
Mageense
Page 1 of 4

Serra Macaense

(Away)
27 Sept
Serra Macaense
2 : 1
FC Rio de Janeiro
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Serra Macaense
0 : 1
Friburguense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)