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Mageense vs Uni Souza

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Mon, May 4, 2026
0 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mageense host Uni Souza in the Carioca C. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Mageense at 1.05 goals for, 2.2 against; Uni Souza at 1.43 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Uni Souza slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back Uni Souza to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Mageense
30%
Draws
62%
Uni Souza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uni Souza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Uni Souza have won more games recently than Mageense.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Uni Souza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mageense Clean Sheet 16%
Uni Souza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mageense Uni Souza
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 1 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.05 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Carioca C
Mageense vs Uni Souza
0:3
Sep 30, 2024 Carioca B2
Uni Souza vs Mageense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mageense 10 / 100
Uni Souza 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mageense Uni Souza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uni Souza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mageense scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

Uni Souza has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Mageense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mageense VS Uni Souza
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mageense

(Home)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
07 Jun
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Mageense
01 Jun
Mageense
0 : 4
Rio Barra
24 May
Buzios
1 : 1
Mageense
Page 1 of 4

Uni Souza

(Away)
12 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Uni Souza
07 Jul
Uni Souza
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
03 Jul
Uni Souza
5 : 1
EC Vera Cruz
30 Jun
Campos AA
3 : 1
Uni Souza
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)