Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Magenta vs Folgore Caratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ravasi R.
57' Event
Ravasi R.
59' Event
Codraro S.

AI Match Summary

Folgore Caratese in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore Caratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Magenta
35%
Draws
25%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Folgore Caratese have won more games recently than Magenta.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Magenta Clean Sheet 68%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magenta Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Magenta vs Folgore Caratese
0:4
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Magenta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magenta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ravasi R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Codraro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magenta 41 / 100
Folgore Caratese 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magenta Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magenta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Folgore Caratese let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Magenta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Magenta scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Folgore Caratese
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Magenta

(Home)
04 May
Varesina
1 : 1
Magenta
27 Apr
Magenta
2 : 0
Sant'Angelo
17 Apr
Chievo
4 : 0
Magenta
13 Apr
Magenta
0 : 0
Sangiuliano City
06 Apr
Breno
1 : 3
Magenta
Page 1 of 6

Folgore Caratese

(Away)
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)