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Maghreb Fez vs Renaissance Zemamra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Complexe sportif de Fès, Fès
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Noureddine O.
46'
Sub
Brika A. In: El Mahraoui A.
Out: Brika A.
48' Event
Essaghir J.

AI Match Summary

Maghreb Fez in this Botola Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maghreb Fez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Maghreb Fez
35%
Draws
10%
Renaissance Zemamra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maghreb Fez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Maghreb Fez have won more games recently than Renaissance Zemamra.
  • Model gives Maghreb Fez a 55% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Botola Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 68%
Renaissance Zemamra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maghreb Fez Renaissance Zemamra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Renaissance Zemamra
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Botola Pro
Renaissance Zemamra vs Maghreb Fez
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Renaissance Zemamra
2:0
Apr 23, 2025 Botola Pro
Renaissance Zemamra vs Maghreb Fez
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Renaissance Zemamra
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maghreb Fez Compare

Top Goalscorer El Mahraoui A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Renaissance Zemamra Compare

Top Goalscorer Essaghir J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maghreb Fez 95 / 100
Renaissance Zemamra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maghreb Fez Renaissance Zemamra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maghreb Fez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Maghreb Fez stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Maghreb Fez's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Renaissance Zemamra has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Maghreb Fez VS Renaissance Zemamra
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maghreb Fez

(Home)
08 Oct
Maghreb Fez
0 : 0
Raja Casablanca
03 Oct
Hassania Agadir
1 : 2
Maghreb Fez
27 Sept
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
12 Sept
Rahimo
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
06 Sept
Maghreb Fez
4 : 1
Rahimo
Page 1 of 6

Renaissance Zemamra

(Away)
08 Oct
Renaissance Zemamra
2 : 5
Hassania Agadir
03 Oct
Raja Casablanca
1 : 0
Renaissance Zemamra
27 Sept
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
05 Jul
FAR Rabat
0 : 0
Renaissance Zemamra
02 Jul
Renaissance Zemamra
1 : 1
FUS Rabat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Union Touarga 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Hassania Agadir 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
4 IR Tanger 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 Raja Casablanca 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 COD Meknes 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
7 FAR Rabat 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Kawkab Marrakech 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Wydad Athletic 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Widad Temara 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
11 Moghreb Tetouan 3 0 3 0 1:1 3
12 Amal Tiznit 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Berkane 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
14 FUS Rabat 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
15 Renaissance Zemamra 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
16 Difaa El Jadidi 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2027/2028 (Main)