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Magic United TFA FC vs Rochedale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Magic F.C. Park, Carrara
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Stevens F.
49' Event
Cross M.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Talbot H.

AI Match Summary

Magic United TFA FC in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Magic United TFA FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Magic United TFA FC
15%
Draws
34%
Rochedale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Magic United TFA FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Magic United TFA FC lately — more wins on the board than Rochedale.
  • Model gives Magic United TFA FC a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Magic United TFA FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Magic United TFA FC Clean Sheet 10%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magic United TFA FC Rochedale
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.9 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Queensland
Magic United TFA FC vs Rochedale
2:1
Jun 3, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Magic United TFA FC
4:0
Sep 13, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Magic United TFA FC vs Rochedale
2:1
Jul 29, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Magic United TFA FC vs Rochedale
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Rochedale vs Magic United TFA FC
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magic United TFA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevens F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Rochedale Compare

Top Goalscorer Talbot H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magic United TFA FC 83 / 100
Rochedale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magic United TFA FC Rochedale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magic United TFA FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rochedale conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Magic United TFA FC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Magic United TFA FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magic United TFA FC VS Rochedale
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Magic United TFA FC

(Home)
14 Aug
Wynnum Wolves
0 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
02 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
0 : 3
Olympic FC
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4
Magic United TFA FC
11 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
4 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
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Rochedale

(Away)
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2
SD Raiders
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)